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Volcano on St Vincent could remain active for a year

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Volcano on St Vincent could remain active for a year

PostAuthor: Anthea » Mon Jan 04, 2021 12:49 am

St Vincent prepares for evacuation

Residents of St Vincent and the Grenadines have been warned they may have to evacuate their homes with 24 hours as a volcano begins to spew lava from a newly formed dome after lying dormant for decades

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Authorities have issued an orange alert for the area, affecting more than 100,000 people, as scientists assess the latest eruption.

The orange alert means the volcano may erupt with less than 24 hours notice, and residents who live nearby have been told they may get an evacuation notice. The next highest alert level is red, which means an eruption is in progress.

On Tuesday officials warned of strong gas emissions, formation of a new volcanic dome and changes to its crater lake at the La Soufriere volcano.

Today the alert level was raised to an orange, with suggestions the volcano could erupt within a day and advising people from Fancy in the north of the island to Georgetown on the northeast coast they may have to evacuate.

A team of scientists from Trinidad and Tobago were flown in to the island today to provide support to those assessing the eruption.

This map from the University of the West Indies Research Center shows the volcano and how at risk each area of the island is from the volcanic activity from day to day. The whole island has been raised to orange alert (a separate alert level to the hazard zones shown on the map) which means residents may be told to evacuate with less than 24 hours notice

Fresh magma has made its way to the surface of the crater despite no reports of volcanic earthquakes typically associated with the region.

The University of the West Indies Seismic Research Centre (UWISRC) said an effusive eruption - in which magma reaches the surface and gently oozes out as opposed to burst through the rocks - is taking place.

According to the organisation, effusive eruptions generally occur when magma has a relatively low amount of gas inside. Sticky lavas form domes compared to runny lavas which can travel several kilometres from the vent. The lava from La Soufriere is not particularly runny.

A three-person team from the organisation, Geologist Prof. Richard Robertson, Instrumentation Engineer Lloyd Lynch and Engineering Technician Ian Juman, arrived on the island this morning to provide scientific support.

When flying in on board the Regional Security System aircraft, the team attempted to get a view of the eruption for themselves before landing at the Argyle International Airport.

A second aerial reconnaissance took place at 4pm which revealed the newly formed dome continues to grow in size.

The University of the West Indies Seismic Research Centre (UWISRC) said an effusive eruption - in which magma reaches the surface and gently oozes. Pictured: An aerial shot taken during an assessment which shows the site of an eruption (centre right) which took place in 1979

A few days ago The National Emergency Management Organisation for the island provided the public with a document online which detailed the symptoms which can be expected in each alert level.

Orange alerts are triggered when a high levels of seismicity or fumarolic activity, or both, with the possibility of eruptions happening with less than 24 hours notice.

In response, scientists are continuously manning the monitoring system and regularly inspecting the potential vent areas.

Other actions include continuous ground deformation and hydrothermal monitoring as well as daily assessment reports submitted to the civil authorities.

Meanwhile, local authorities will begin coordinating an evacuation and organise regular radio and television announcements to keep the public informed.

La Soufriere, located near the northern tip of the main island of St. Vincent, last erupted in 1979, and a previous eruption in 1902 killed some 1,600 people.

The West Indies science team flew in to the island onboard the Regional Security System aircraft, landing at the Argyle International Airport

A yellow alert was also raised for the island of Martinique, an overseas French territory, on Tuesday due to seismic activity under the mountain.

It was the first alert of its kind issued since the volcano last erupted in 1932, Fabrice Fontaine, with Martinique´s Volcanological and Seismological Observatory, told The Associated Press.

While the eastern Caribbean is one long chain of active and extinct volcanoes, volcanologist Erik Klemetti, at Denison University in Ohio, said the activity at Mt. Pelee and La Soufriere are not related.

'It's not like one volcano starts erupting that others will,' he said. 'It falls into the category of coincidence.'

He said the activity is evidence that magma is lurking underground and percolating toward the surface, although he added that scientists still don't have a very good understanding of what controls how quickly that happens.

Martinique's Mt. Pelee too is now active once again. In early December, officials in the French Caribbean territory issued a yellow alert due to seismic activity under the mountain

The most active volcano in recent years in the eastern Caribbean has been Soufriere Hills in Montserrat, which has erupted continuously since 1995, destroying the capital of Plymouth and killing at least 19 people in 1997

'The answers are not entirely satisfying,' he said. 'It's science that's still being researched.'

Klemetti said the most active volcano in recent years in the eastern Caribbean has been Soufriere Hills in Montserrat, which has erupted continuously since 1995, destroying the capital of Plymouth and killing at least 19 people in 1997.

Seventeen of the eastern Caribbean´s 19 live volcanoes are located on 11 islands, with the remaining two are underwater near the island of Grenada, including one called Kick `Em Jenny that has been active in recent years.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... g-ash.html
Last edited by Anthea on Tue Apr 13, 2021 11:45 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Volcano on St Vincent could remain active for a year

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Re: St Vincent and Grenadines at risk of volcanic eruption

PostAuthor: Anthea » Fri Jan 08, 2021 11:10 pm

St. Vincent and the Grenadines has now recorded 124 cases of COVID-19, of which 100 have recovered and 24 remain active

Perhaps having a healthy diet helps the recovery rate
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Re: St Vincent and Grenadines at risk of volcanic eruption

PostAuthor: Anthea » Tue Apr 13, 2021 1:00 am

La Soufriere had been spitting out ash for some days but only recently became seriously dangerous

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Large explosion on St Vincent

Large explosive eruption at La Soufriere, dome collapse, pyroclastic flow Occurring

A large explosive eruption has occurred at the La Soufriere volcano. The eruption was seen on the Martinique radar (see above) at approximately 4.15 am.

According to NEMO the islands disaster agency dome collapse and pyroclastic flow along the valleys on the eastern and western coast have occurred.

On Monday 12th April, Geologist Richard Robertson said that patterns have changed at La Soufriere over the last hours. He said there are now four to five hours between explosions.

Robertson said fresh magma is being emitted in the ongoing explosions. However, there is uncertainty about how long it would go on.

NEMO on its Twitter page said, “Pyroclastic flows at La Soufriere possible destruction and devastation of communities close to the volcano”.

The islands disaster agency reported that the current activity pattern similar to that of the 1902 eruption and were likely to cause more damage and destruction.

New satellite imagery taken on April 10 2021, shows what one volcanologist described as a new vent at St Vincent’s La Soufriere volcano.

Some 20,000 persons have been evacuated from the Red Zone, with 3178 in shelter and others at families and friends in the safe zone.

On Monday morning, the island’s government said that all essential workers, including those at the seaports, were to report to work while persons assigned to shelters were asked to continue to assist.

The island’s Prime Minister Ralph Gonsalves made an urgent last-minute call on Monday morning for any civilian remaining in the Red Zone to get out as more explosions are expected throughout the day.

https://news784.com/2021/04/12/large-at ... stic-flow/
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Re: Will St Vincent survive latest volcanic eruption

PostAuthor: Anthea » Tue Apr 13, 2021 1:10 am

News784 is the best source of information

The eruptions are ongoing and scientists are unable to predict how long or how severe the eruptions will be, they could last weeks

Meanwhile the entire island is now covered in ash, many areas have no power and there is no water

All other islands are rushing to assist
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Re: Will St Vincent survive latest volcanic eruption

PostAuthor: Anthea » Tue Apr 13, 2021 1:38 am

Geothermal project in St. Vincent

With the three wells drilled for the geothermal project on St. Vincent in the Caribbean, it is now planned to sidetrack wells and stimulate wells to see how to increase necessary permeability of the wells for planned geothermal power generation

Me thinks they overstimulated the volcano

The three wells drilled for the geothermal project in St. Vincent & the Grenadines in the Caribbean show sufficient temperature, yet not the level of permeability required to guarantee the operation of a geothermal power plant.

“The conclusion in all of this as provided by the technical persons is that although the results in relation to the permeability have not gone favourably due to the very tight fractures that have limited the permeability, the tested temperatures on the wells were adequate for geothermal power,” Prime Minister Ralph Gonsalves told Parliament last Wednesday.

The prime minister said that the technical team will exhaust all options of well stimulation in an effort to open the fractures on the three wells and improve permeability.

He said that the technical team is optimistic that following the successful stimulation results of the well SVG 03, “they are hopeful that the others will be similar and in addition, strengthen the stimulation in 03”.

Drilling of the first well SVG01 lasted from April 30, 2019 to July 27, 2019, a duration of 89 days to a depth of 2,700 meters. With challenges due to the unstable formation in the well, it was necessary to correct the inclination of the well, which then though collapsed at a depth of 1,889 meters.

Total cost of drilling this well was $7.7 million and a temperature of 155 degrees Celsius was measured at a depth of 1,880 meters. The project team sees still the possibility for making the well successful with drilling a side track from 1,800 to 2,700 meters and additional stimulation.

The second well, SVG03, was drilled between Aug. 7, 2019 and Oct 29, 2019, including seven days of stimulation to a depth 2,283 meters (total length 2,800 meters). The well collapsed at a depth of 1,627 meters and a sidetrack from 1,160 meters. Total cost of the well was $7.6 million. Temperature of the well was 220 degrees Celsius at the depth of 2,800 meters with though low permeability. Well testing is outstanding but it is planned to continue stimulation to increase flow capacity.

Drilling for the third well, SVG02 began on Nov. 4, 2019 and ended Jan. 15, 2020, including 19 days’ stimulation. Depth of the well is 2,990 meters (2,869 vertical depth). Drilling cost was $5.6 million with a temperature of 230 to 250 degrees Celsius. Also this well will have to be stimulated.

Together with the Caribbean Development Bank and the board of the St. Vincent Geothermal Company Ltd., efforts will be made to make the wells productive for the purpose of the project to develop a geothermal power project.

Sidetracking the first well, SVG01 is next on the agenda with stimulation using a downhole packer, to seal downhole at 1,700 meters. The same will then be tried to SVG03.

https://www.thinkgeoenergy.com/geotherm ... led-wells/
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Re: Will St Vincent survive latest volcanic eruption

PostAuthor: Anthea » Tue Apr 13, 2021 1:45 am

YES you read it correctly

They drilled several hole of more than 2 miles deep in the side of La Soufriere Volcano on St Vincent

And not being able to obtain the required heat they

    STIMULATED
the volcano

And as everyone now knows

    La Soufriere woke up
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Re: They drilled holes in St Vincent's volcano and woke it u

PostAuthor: Anthea » Tue Apr 13, 2021 2:00 am

LA SOUFRIÈRE BULLETIN #59 APRIL 12, 2021 8:00 P.M

Three episodes of tremor have been recorded since 6 am, two of them lower-amplitude and the third, at about 5 pm, was high-amplitude. The episodes continue to coincide with periods of enhanced venting or explosive activity. Small long-period earthquakes have been recorded since about 6 pm on 11 April. These were erroneously reported as volcano-tectonic earthquakes in a previous report.

Assistance provided by the coastguard today enabled a reconnaissance of the entire north coast of St. Vincent from Chateaubelair to Georgetown.

Observations made indicate that pyroclastic density currents (PDCs) had descended several valleys on the southern and western flanks of the volcano and had reached the sea at Morne Ronde, Larikai and Trois Loupes Bay. Extensive damage to vegetation was noted in an area extending from Larikai Bay to Turner Bay on the west coast.

No other areas along the coast were affected by PDCs, but villages located on the eastern flank of the volcano were affected by heavy ashfall.

The volcano continues to erupt explosively and has now started to generate pyroclastic density currents. Explosions and accompanying ashfall, of similar or larger magnitude, are likely to continue to occur over the next few days

Alert level remains RED.

Eighty-five shelters with more than 3,782 occupants are now activated. Registration of persons who have sought shelter with family and friends is ongoing.

The National Emergency Operations Center continues to be fully functional operating on a twenty-four hour, around the clock basis.

NEMO will continue to provide regular updates on activities at the Volcano as they occur.

https://news784.com/2021/04/12/nemo-exp ... -few-days/
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Re: They drilled holes in St Vincent's volcano and woke it u

PostAuthor: Anthea » Tue Apr 13, 2021 11:43 pm

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Eruptions Could Continue For Up To A Year

Director of the University of the West Indies Seismic Research Centre, Professor Richard Robertson believes the series of eruptions from St Vincent’s La Soufriere volcano is the worst in over a century

An explosive eruption occurred at dawn on the 42nd anniversary of La Soufriere Volcano on the Caribbean island of St Vincent.

The UWI SRC said La Soufriere commemorates her anniversary with another explosive episode beginning at 6:30 am and continued up to 8 am.

Speaking during the emergency update, Professor Robertson said it was still unclear how long the eruptions would continue.

Professor Robertson said although episodic explosions were emanating from the volcano, the plumes of ash were not travelling as high as on previous occasions.

However, he said the volcanic activity at present was “bigger” than the 1979 eruption. In fact, he said it was more on a scale with the eruption which occurred in 1902.

“This period could vary from a few weeks to a few months to as long as up to a year given past experience.

Robertson said it’s possible in this week given that it seems to be trending towards small and shorter, less vigorous plumes, that you may not have periods of so much ash, but that is not to say that in the coming weeks you will not again have periods where you have ashfall.”

NEMO the island’s disaster agency on Monday 12th April, said observations made indicate that pyroclastic flows descended several valleys on the volcano’s southern and western flanks.

Eighty-five shelters with more than 3,782 occupants are now activated, The registration of other persons who have sought refuge with family and friends is ongoing. The alert level remains RED.

https://news784.com/2021/04/13/scientis ... to-a-year/
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Re: Volcano on St Vincent could remain active for a year

PostAuthor: Anthea » Thu Apr 15, 2021 2:36 am

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La Soufriere Wants To Reoccupy Its Terrain

It Wants To Get Bigger: The activity at La Soufriere will continue with periodic explosions, says Geologist Richard Robertson

Robertson speaking on NBC Radio on Wednesday 14 April, said the gap between eruptions would increase, and it is conceivable at some point that the explosions would stop and a period of quiet will begin.

“Now we don’t think that has ended yet, and even though the quiet period goes for a long time, I don’t think we would be convinced that it has ended, and it’s possible at some point, new explosions could occur”.

On Wednesday, the UWI SRC said small long-period earthquakes gradually increased in number after the explosive activity at 6:30 am on 13 April. These continued until another episode of explosive action started at 8:30 pm on 13 April.

The Seismic Research Centre says the explosions that occurred pulsed for 40 minutes and produced pyroclastic density currents (PDCs), which appear to have gone down valleys that drain towards the Rabacca River, along the east coast of the island.

Robertson, on Wednesday 14th, said La Soufriere in this ongoing eruption has operated remarkably.

“How it has built up, playing out its eruption, has provided so much warning that it’s unusual. Firstly, you had the dome building period or the effusive eruptions, and then it had this activity of explosions with ash which trashed everything, followed by all these pyroclastic flows”.

Robertson said the pyroclastic flows did not go towards the west where most communities are; it went to the east, where mainly farming takes place, so now it’s slowly reoccupying the terrain to the east.

“The volcano is slowing putting materials all over itself and becoming bigger, which is what volcanoes do, and is therefore telling us if you are in those areas north of Rabacca, you would know by now it wants to come in your direction”.

It just a matter of time before it starts affecting communities further North, Robertson stated.

He said the Coast Guard will have a tough time heading back North now that there are pyroclastic flows; they would only have a window of time to operate.

On Tuesday, the Coast Guard removed twelve persons from the Northern community of Owia situated in the Red Zone.

The UWI SRC says Lahars were reported in the North-Eastern community of Sandy Bay on 13 April.

The research centre said explosions and accompanying ashfall of similar or larger magnitude are likely to continue to occur over the next few days impacting St. Vincent and neighbouring islands such as Barbados, Grenada, Saint Lucia.

The emergency operations are still ongoing, and 3,880 people were evacuated and are now in 87 public shelters. Also, 2,000 displaced people are hosted in private accommodations.

https://news784.com/2021/04/14/la-soufr ... scientist/
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Re: Volcano on St Vincent could remain active for a year

PostAuthor: Anthea » Thu Apr 15, 2021 2:44 am

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Episodic Eruptions, Less Energetic Explosions

The UWI Seismic Unit says activity at La Soufrière, St Vincent continued to follow the pattern established on Tuesday, the bands of tremor are about 14 hours apart, separated by swarms of small, long-period (LP) earthquakes

The unit said in an update on Wednesday night that the latest band of tremor occurred at about 11:35 am on Wednesday morning and, as before, was associated with an episode of explosive activity.

The UWI SRC says the explosions produced were gas-rich and did not rise as energetically as previous explosions.No pyroclastic density currents were produced.

The volcano continues to erupt explosively and has now begun to generate pyroclastic density currents. Its current pattern of explosions appears to be episodic (stop-and-go) with longer periods between explosions and less energy.

Explosions and accompanying ashfall, of similar or larger magnitude, are likely to continue to occur over the next few days, the UWI SRC said.

https://news784.com/2021/04/14/uwi-src- ... xplosions/
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Re: Volcano on St Vincent could remain active for a year

PostAuthor: Anthea » Sun Apr 18, 2021 2:32 am

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Magma being added

The UWI SRC in its 6 pm report says the swarm of long-period and hybrid earthquakes continued at La Soufrière on Saturday

The rate of occurrence of these earthquakes has remained near-constant since the last update. No episodes of tremor have been recorded in the last 12 hours.

The continuous GPS (Global Positioning System) network has shown a change in the horizontal and vertical movement since the initial deflation observed after the April 9 explosive episode.

The continuous GPS (Global Positioning System) network is used to track changes in ground shape on and around the volcano.

UWI SRC says these changes may suggest magma is being added from deep within the sub-volcanic system, however, more investigation is needed to confirm this interpretation.

The volcano continues to erupt although explosive activity appears to have ended at this time.

Its current pattern of seismic activity may indicate the growth of a lava dome, but this has not yet been confirmed, the UWI SRC says.

Explosions with accompanying ashfall, of similar or larger magnitude, could restart in the future impacting St. Vincent and neighbouring islands.

The volcano is still at alert level Red

https://news784.com/2021/04/17/uwi-src- ... ep-within/
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